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Newcastle United v Fulham, Premier League 2020–21

NewcastleNewcastle United

Wilson 64' penalty

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.6 to 0.8

Full time

FulhamFulham

Ritchie 42' (OG)

Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 39%, draw 27%, Fulham win 34%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Fulham
NewcastleFulham
1.60.8
1Goals1
1.90.8