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Newcastle United v Leicester City, Premier League 2020–21

NewcastleNewcastle United

Carroll 82'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 0.7 to 0.6

Full time

LeicesterLeicester City

Maddison 55'Tielemans 72'

Win chances: Leicester favored. Newcastle win 23%, draw 26%, Leicester win 51%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Leicester
NewcastleLeicester
0.70.6
1Goals2
1.41.2