Newcastle United v Manchester City, Premier League 2020–21
NewcastleNewcastle United
Krafth 25'Joelinton 45+6' penaltyWillock 62'
Final score 3 to 4
Expected goals 2.7 to 1.1
Man CityManchester City
Cancelo 39'Torres 42', 64', 66'
- Date Friday, May 14, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 14. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Newcastle win 8%, draw 16%, Man City win 76%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||