Southampton v Burnley, Premier League 2020–21
SouthamptonSouthampton
Armstrong 31'Ings 42'Redmond 66'
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 2.2 to 1.3
BurnleyBurnley
Wood 12' penaltyVydra 28'
- Date Sunday, April 4, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 45%, draw 27%, Burnley win 28%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Southampton | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||