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Tottenham Hotspur v Southampton, Premier League 2020–21

TottenhamTottenham Hotspur

Bale 60'Heung-Min 90' penalty

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.6 to 1.0

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Ings 30'

Win chances: Tottenham favored. Tottenham win 51%, draw 24%, Southampton win 25%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Tottenham and Southampton
TottenhamSouthampton
1.61.0
2Goals1
1.80.9