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West Ham United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2020–21

West HamWest Ham United

Ogbonna 2'Bowen 46'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.7 to 1.8

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Grealish 25'

Win chances: West Ham favored. West Ham win 45%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 31%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, West Ham and Aston Villa
West HamAston Villa
0.71.8
2Goals1
0.62.2