Arsenal v Aston Villa, Premier League 2021–22
ArsenalArsenal
Partey 23'Aubameyang 45+6'Smith Rowe 56'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 3.4 to 1.0
Aston VillaAston Villa
Ramsey 82'
- Date Friday, October 22, 2021
- Premier League 2021–22
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 22. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 45%, draw 25%, Aston Villa win 30%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||