Arsenal v Manchester City, Premier League 2021–22
ArsenalArsenal
Saka 31'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 0.7 to 1.8
Man CityManchester City
Mahrez 57' penaltyRodri 90+3'
- Date Saturday, January 1, 2022
- Premier League 2021–22
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Arsenal win 18%, draw 22%, Man City win 60%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.2 | ||