Arsenal v Newcastle United, Premier League 2021–22
ArsenalArsenal
Saka 56'Martinelli 66'
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 2.8 to 0.5
NewcastleNewcastle United
- Date Saturday, November 27, 2021
- Premier League 2021–22
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 27. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 54%, draw 23%, Newcastle win 23%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.5 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||