Aston Villa v Arsenal, Premier League 2021–22
Aston VillaAston Villa
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 0.4 to 1.0
ArsenalArsenal
Saka 30'
- Date Saturday, March 19, 2022
- Premier League 2021–22
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 19. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Aston Villa win 31%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 43%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||