Aston Villa v Chelsea, Premier League 2021–22
Aston VillaAston Villa
James 28' (OG)
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 0.5 to 2.4
ChelseaChelsea
Jorginho 34' penalty, 90+3' penaltyLukaku 56'
- Date Sunday, December 26, 2021
- Premier League 2021–22
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Aston Villa win 19%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 57%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Chelsea | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 0.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.5 | ||