Burnley v Arsenal, Premier League 2021–22
BurnleyBurnley
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 1.5 to 1.4
ArsenalArsenal
Ødegaard 30'
- Date Saturday, September 18, 2021
- Premier League 2021–22
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Burnley win 30%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 44%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||