Chelsea v Arsenal, Premier League 2021–22
ChelseaChelsea
Werner 17'Azpilicueta 32'
Final score 2 to 4
Expected goals 0.8 to 2.0
ArsenalArsenal
Nketiah 13', 57'Smith Rowe 27'Saka 90+2' penalty
- Date Wednesday, April 20, 2022
- Premier League 2021–22
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 20. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 55%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 21%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.0 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 0.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.2 | ||