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Chelsea v Aston Villa, Premier League 2021–22

ChelseaChelsea

Lukaku 15', 90+3'Kovacic 49'

Final score 3 to 0

Expected goals 1.0 to 1.3

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 64%, draw 21%, Aston Villa win 15%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Aston Villa
ChelseaAston Villa
1.01.3
3Goals0
1.11.6