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Chelsea v Burnley, Premier League 2021–22

ChelseaChelsea

Havertz 33'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 2.6 to 0.6

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Vydra 79'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 70%, draw 19%, Burnley win 11%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 6. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Burnley
ChelseaBurnley
2.60.6
1Goals1
2.50.4