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Everton v Arsenal, Premier League 2021–22

EvertonEverton

Richarlison 80'Gray 90+2'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.1

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Ødegaard 45+2'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Everton win 36%, draw 27%, Arsenal win 37%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 6. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Everton and Arsenal
EvertonArsenal
0.91.1
2Goals1
1.21.5