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Everton v Southampton, Premier League 2021–22

EvertonEverton

Richarlison 47'Doucouré 76'Calvert-Lewin 81'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 1.8 to 0.7

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Armstrong 22'

Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 45%, draw 26%, Southampton win 29%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Everton and Southampton
EvertonSouthampton
1.80.7
3Goals1
2.20.6