Leeds United v Arsenal, Premier League 2021–22
LeedsLeeds United
Raphinha 75' penalty
Final score 1 to 4
Expected goals 1.8 to 3.0
ArsenalArsenal
Martinelli 16', 28'Saka 42'Smith Rowe 84'
- Date Saturday, December 18, 2021
- Premier League 2021–22
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Leeds win 34%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 41%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leeds | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 3.0 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.0 | ||