Liverpool v Aston Villa, Premier League 2021–22
LiverpoolLiverpool
Salah 67' penalty
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 2.4 to 0.3
Aston VillaAston Villa
- Date Saturday, December 11, 2021
- Premier League 2021–22
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 11. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 73%, draw 16%, Aston Villa win 11%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Liverpool | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.3 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.2 | ||