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Newcastle United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2021–22

NewcastleNewcastle United

Trippier 35'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 0.5 to 0.8

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Newcastle win 33%, draw 27%, Aston Villa win 40%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 13. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Aston Villa
NewcastleAston Villa
0.50.8
1Goals0
1.11.5