Newcastle United v Burnley, Premier League 2021–22
NewcastleNewcastle United
Wilson 40'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.5 to 0.8
BurnleyBurnley
- Date Saturday, December 4, 2021
- Premier League 2021–22
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 37%, draw 27%, Burnley win 36%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||