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Southampton v Arsenal, Premier League 2021–22

SouthamptonSouthampton

Bednarek 44'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 1.1 to 1.9

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Southampton win 27%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 49%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Arsenal
SouthamptonArsenal
1.11.9
1Goals0
0.91.9