Watford v Burnley, Premier League 2021–22
WatfordWatford
Tarkowski 8' (OG)
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 1.5 to 1.8
BurnleyBurnley
Cork 83'Brownhill 86'
- Date Saturday, April 30, 2022
- Premier League 2021–22
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Burnley favored. Watford win 36%, draw 27%, Burnley win 37%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Watford | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.6 | ||