Arsenal v Aston Villa, Premier League 2022–23
ArsenalArsenal
Jesus 30'Martinelli 77'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 3.1 to 0.3
Aston VillaAston Villa
Luiz 74'
- Date Wednesday, August 31, 2022
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 31. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 59%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 18%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.3 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.1 | ||