Arsenal v Leeds United, Premier League 2022–23
ArsenalArsenal
Jesus 35' penalty, 55'White 47'Xhaka 84'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 2.3 to 0.8
LeedsLeeds United
Kristensen 76'
- Date Saturday, April 1, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 72%, draw 16%, Leeds win 12%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Leeds | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||