Arsenal v Liverpool, Premier League 2022–23
ArsenalArsenal
Martinelli 1'Saka 45+5', 76' penalty
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 2.8 to 0.6
LiverpoolLiverpool
Núñez 34'Firmino 53'
- Date Sunday, October 9, 2022
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 9. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Arsenal win 32%, draw 25%, Liverpool win 43%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Liverpool | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.6 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||