Arsenal v Manchester City, Premier League 2022–23
ArsenalArsenal
Saka 42' penalty
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 1.3 to 1.2
Man CityManchester City
De Bruyne 24'Grealish 72'Haaland 82'
- Date Wednesday, February 15, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 15. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Arsenal win 30%, draw 25%, Man City win 45%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||