Arsenal v Southampton, Premier League 2022–23
ArsenalArsenal
Martinelli 20'Ødegaard 88'Saka 90'
Final score 3 to 3
Expected goals 2.3 to 1.8
SouthamptonSouthampton
Alcaraz 1'Walcott 14'Caleta-Car 66'
- Date Friday, April 21, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 74%, draw 16%, Southampton win 10%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Southampton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.8 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||