Aston Villa v Arsenal, Premier League 2022–23
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 5'Coutinho 31'
Final score 2 to 4
Expected goals 0.6 to 2.8
ArsenalArsenal
Saka 16'Zinchenko 61'Martínez 90+3' (OG)Martinelli 90+8'
- Date Saturday, February 18, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Aston Villa win 23%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 52%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.8 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 0.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.6 | ||