Aston Villa v Chelsea, Premier League 2022–23
Aston VillaAston Villa
Final score 0 to 2
Expected goals 1.5 to 0.8
ChelseaChelsea
Mount 6', 65'
- Date Sunday, October 16, 2022
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 16. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Aston Villa win 24%, draw 28%, Chelsea win 48%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Chelsea | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||