Aston Villa v Leeds United, Premier League 2022–23
Aston VillaAston Villa
Bailey 3'Buendía 64'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.7 to 2.4
LeedsLeeds United
Bamford 83'
- Date Friday, January 13, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 13. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 47%, draw 25%, Leeds win 28%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 13. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Leeds | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.4 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||