Aston Villa v Manchester City, Premier League 2022–23
Aston VillaAston Villa
Bailey 74'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 0.3 to 1.2
Man CityManchester City
Haaland 50'
- Date Saturday, September 3, 2022
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Aston Villa win 10%, draw 18%, Man City win 72%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.1 | ||