Aston Villa v Newcastle United, Premier League 2022–23
Aston VillaAston Villa
Ramsey 11'Watkins 64', 83'
Final score 3 to 0
Expected goals 1.9 to 0.6
NewcastleNewcastle United
- Date Saturday, April 15, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 15. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Aston Villa win 32%, draw 25%, Newcastle win 43%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.6 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||