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AFC Bournemouth v Aston Villa, Premier League 2022–23

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Lerma 2'Moore 80'

Final score 2 to 0

Expected goals 0.7 to 0.9

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 42%, draw 27%, Aston Villa win 31%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 6. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Bournemouth and Aston Villa
BournemouthAston Villa
0.70.9
2Goals0
1.21.5