Brentford v Aston Villa, Premier League 2022–23
BrentfordBrentford
Toney 65'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.8 to 1.3
Aston VillaAston Villa
Luiz 87'
- Date Saturday, April 22, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 22. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brentford favored. Brentford win 49%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 27%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brentford | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||