Brentford v Newcastle United, Premier League 2022–23
BrentfordBrentford
Toney 45+1' penalty
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 1.7 to 1.2
NewcastleNewcastle United
Raya 54' (OG)Isak 61'
- Date Saturday, April 8, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 8. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Brentford win 36%, draw 26%, Newcastle win 38%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 8. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brentford | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||