Chelsea v Aston Villa, Premier League 2022–23
ChelseaChelsea
Final score 0 to 2
Expected goals 2.8 to 0.4
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 18'McGinn 56'
- Date Saturday, April 1, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 56%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 21%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.4 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.2 | ||