Chelsea v Manchester City, Premier League 2022–23
ChelseaChelsea
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 0.6 to 1.5
Man CityManchester City
Mahrez 63'
- Date Thursday, January 5, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 5. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Chelsea win 22%, draw 25%, Man City win 53%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.5 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.0 | ||