Everton v Aston Villa, Premier League 2022–23
EvertonEverton
Final score 0 to 2
Expected goals 1.7 to 1.4
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 63' penaltyBuendía 81'
- Date Saturday, February 25, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 25. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 38%, draw 28%, Aston Villa win 34%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||