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Fulham v Chelsea, Premier League 2022–23

FulhamFulham

Willian 25'Vinícius 73'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.6 to 2.1

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Koulibaly 47'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Fulham win 31%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 45%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Fulham and Chelsea
FulhamChelsea
0.62.1
2Goals1
0.42.4