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Fulham v Newcastle United, Premier League 2022–23

FulhamFulham

De Cordova-Reid 88'

Final score 1 to 4

Expected goals 0.3 to 3.2

Full time

NewcastleNewcastle United

Wilson 11'Almirón 33', 57'Longstaff 43'

Win chances: Fulham favored. Fulham win 46%, draw 24%, Newcastle win 30%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Fulham and Newcastle
FulhamNewcastle
0.33.2
1Goals4
0.12.8