Leeds United v Arsenal, Premier League 2022–23
LeedsLeeds United
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 1.5 to 1.1
ArsenalArsenal
Saka 35'
- Date Sunday, October 16, 2022
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 16. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Leeds win 23%, draw 23%, Arsenal win 54%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leeds | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||