Leicester City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2022–23
LeicesterLeicester City
Barnes 35'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 0.6 to 1.1
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 24'Traoré 87'
- Date Tuesday, April 4, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Leicester favored. Leicester win 45%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 31%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Leicester | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.7 | ||