Liverpool v Aston Villa, Premier League 2022–23
LiverpoolLiverpool
Firmino 89'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 0.7 to 1.5
Aston VillaAston Villa
Ramsey 27'
- Date Saturday, May 20, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 20. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 65%, draw 19%, Aston Villa win 16%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Liverpool | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.5 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||