Manchester City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2022–23
Man CityManchester City
Rodri 4'Gündogan 39'Mahrez 45+1' penalty
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 3.0 to 0.5
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 61'
- Date Sunday, February 12, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 78%, draw 15%, Aston Villa win 7%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.2 | ||