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Manchester City v Liverpool, Premier League 2022–23

Man CityManchester City

Álvarez 27'De Bruyne 46'Gündogan 53'Grealish 74'

Final score 4 to 1

Expected goals 1.6 to 0.3

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Salah 17'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 62%, draw 19%, Liverpool win 19%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Liverpool
Man CityLiverpool
1.60.3
4Goals1
2.30.4