Manchester City v Manchester United, Premier League 2022–23
Man CityManchester City
Foden 8', 44', 73'Haaland 34', 37', 64'
Final score 6 to 3
Expected goals 3.1 to 1.5
Man UnitedManchester United
Antony 56'Martial 84', 90+1' penalty
- Date Sunday, October 2, 2022
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 2. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 75%, draw 16%, Man United win 9%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Man United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.5 | ||
| 6 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||