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Manchester United v Arsenal, Premier League 2022–23

Man UnitedManchester United

Antony 35'Rashford 66', 75'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 0.8 to 1.3

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Saka 60'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Man United win 35%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 39%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Arsenal
Man UnitedArsenal
0.81.3
3Goals1
1.01.7