Manchester United v Manchester City, Premier League 2022–23
Man UnitedManchester United
Fernandes 78'Rashford 82'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.0 to 0.5
Man CityManchester City
Grealish 60'
- Date Saturday, January 14, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 14. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man United win 21%, draw 24%, Man City win 55%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man United | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.5 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||