Newcastle United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2022–23
NewcastleNewcastle United
Wilson 45+6' penalty, 56'Joelinton 59'Almirón 67'
Final score 4 to 0
Expected goals 3.1 to 0.4
Aston VillaAston Villa
- Date Saturday, October 29, 2022
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 29. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 47%, draw 27%, Aston Villa win 26%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.4 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.1 | ||